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Budget Related Publications

Forecast September 2020

Subjects
Fiscal Policy & Taxes
State Revenue & Budget
Published
09/18/2020

Focus Colorado presents forecasts for the economy and state government revenue through FY 2019-20. Implications of the forecast for the state's General Fund budget and spending limit are described in the report's highlights and executive summary sections. The report is based on current law, legislation passed by the General Assembly affecting the forecast is described throughout the report.

View Full Report          View Economic Outlook Presentation          Consumer Price Index

Focus Colorado Sections:

Executive Summary

An executive summary of the full economic and revenue forecast.

General Fund Budget Overview

An overview of what the revenue forecast means for the General Fund budget, transfers to the State Education Fund, Senate Bill 09-228 transfers to capital construction and transportation, and tax policies available only when there is a certain level of growth in General Fund revenue.

School Finance Outlook

This section presents information on the outlook for school finance from a state budgetary perspective for the coming budget year (FY 2020-21) and incorporates new information from the September 2019 forecast for income tax diversions to the State Education Fund, federal mineral lease payments, and changes in inflation expectations. 

General Fund Revenue

The General Fund is the state's operating budget fund. It receives 95 percent of its revenue from income and sales taxes. Major General Fund revenue forecasts include:

  • income taxes;
  • sales and use taxes; and
  • cigarette, tobacco products, and liquor excise taxes.

Cash Fund Revenue

Cash funds are separate from the state General Fund. Cash funds receive revenue from a specific fee or tax that are set aside to be used for a specific purpose. Major cash fund revenue forecasts include:

  • gasoline taxes;
  • vehicle registration fees;
  • gaming taxes;
  • hospital provider fees;
  • severance taxes and federal mineral lease revenue; and
  • unemployment insurance premiums, benefits, and the trust fund balance;
  • marijuana tax revenue.

Economic Outlook

A summary and forecast of the health of the Colorado and national economy.

Colorado Economic Regions

Summaries of the current economy in the following regions:

  • Metro Denver: Broomfield, Boulder, Denver, Adams, Arapahoe, Douglas, and Jefferson counties.
  • Northern: Weld and Larimer counties.
  • Pueblo and Southern Mountains: Pueblo, Fremont, Custer, Huerfano, and Las Animas counties.
  • Colorado Springs: El Paso County.
  • San Luis Valley: Alamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Mineral, Rio Grande, and Saguache counties.
  • Southwest Mountain Region: Archuleta, Dolores, La Plata, Montezuma, and San Juan counties.
  • Western: Delta, Garfield, Gunnison, Hinsdale, Mesa, Moffat, Montrose, Ouray, Rio Blanco, and San Miguel counties.
  • Mountain: Chafee, Clear Creek, Eagle, Gilpin, Grand, Jackson, Lake, Park, Pitkin, Routt, Summit, and Teller counties.
  • Eastern: Logan, Sedgwick, Phillips, Morgan, Washington, Yuma, Elbert, Lincoln, Kit Carson, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Otero, Bent, Prowers, and Baca counties.

Appendix

Historical economic data for the nation and Colorado.